Editor’s note: Today, from the Daily Cut archive…
We’re featuring another essay tackling the issue of a potential U.S. dollar CBDC – or central bank digital currency.
In today’s insight, we focus on what it may look like once the Fed starts pushing the shift to a cashless society.
On the surface, phasing out physical cash might sound like a good thing… another way to keep folks with ill intentions in check…
But the amount of policing power this would give the government is concerning… and would mean the end of your financial privacy.
It’s all in today’s issue below. But first, the markets…
Market Data
The S&P 500 closed up 1% to end the day at 5,157.35… the NASDAQ gained 1.5% to close at 16,273.38.
In commodities, WestTexas Intermediate crude oil trades at $78.92, down 16 cents…
Gold is $2,165 per troy ounce, up $10 from yesterday…
And bitcoin is $67,596, up $626 since yesterday.
Now, back to our story…
In October 2020, China’s central bank embarked on a project that will change the nature of money forever…
It announced a special type of lottery…
The prize?
Free cash in the form of its new digital-only currency – the electronic Chinese yuan or e-CNY.
The People’s Bank of China (“PBoC”) put 10 million yuan – or roughly $1.5 million – up for grabs in the southern city of Shenzhen.
Two million Chinese citizens applied. And 50,000 got a “red envelope” that deposited the digital-only currency through a government app on their phone.
For centuries, Chinese people have gifted money to each other in red envelopes. Some say the tradition dates to the Han dynasty about 2,000 years ago.
But these red envelopes were digital.
To use them, you simply downloaded the app and registered with the government. Then you could spend your digital cash with merchants across the city.
Since then, the PBoC has been busy promoting this new digital cash…
It’s rolled out pilot programs in two dozen other cities… paid government workers in e-CNY… and used the new currency to subsidize transport costs for students.
During last year’s Beijing Winter Olympics, it even pressured U.S. companies operating in China, including McDonald’s and Nike, to allow customers to use the e-CNY.
It’s easy to see why China’s totalitarian regime wants to replace physical cash with digital-only transactions. It massively increases its surveillance and tracking powers. And totalitarian governments value control above all else.
In a world where all cash is digital, and the government controls the payments system, no transaction – no matter how small – goes unnoticed.
What’s harder to understand is why America’s central bank, the Federal Reserve, is laying the foundations for a similar system.
But as I’ve been showing you, a U.S. dollar version of China’s digital-only currency isn’t far off.
So, I’ll be spotlighting what’s going on… why it’s a disaster for your financial freedom… and what you can do about it.
Longtime readers will know all about the push to get rid of physical cash…
As I warned you in a September 2019 dispatch, U.S. financial elites have been making the case against cash for years.
Take Kenneth Rogoff. He’s a professor of economics at Harvard and the former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund.
In 2016, he published a book called The Curse of Cash. In it, he argues that the government should phase out physical cash from society.
Why?
To Rogoff, cash is something to be done away with. It aids criminals and people who want to evade the taxman. Here’s his solution…
All paper currency is gradually phased out, beginning with all notes of $50 and above (or foreign equivalent), then the $20 bill, leaving only $1, $5, and (perhaps) $10 bills.
In the ideal world for Rogoff and financial elites like him, governments will oversee ALL cash transactions.
Physical cash payments will no longer be available… because the government will no longer mint coins or print dollar bills.
Rogoff says this will stop criminals stashing their ill-gotten gains in stacks of $100 bills.
But it will also kill off financial privacy.
Want to pay your gardener in cash? Or the babysitter? Or loan money to a friend in need without anyone knowing?
Forget about it. Only digitally traceable transactions will be allowed.
I’m not the first to worry about financial privacy in a digital world…
A pioneering computer scientist called Paul Armer sounded the alarm back in the 1970s.
Armer headed the computer science departments at the RAND Corporation think tank and at Stanford University in the 1950s and 1960s.
And in June 1975, he issued a chilling warning about what would happen to our privacy if governments ditched physical cash and moved to a purely digital system.
In a talk at Stanford University titled “Computer Technology and Surveillance,” he warned such a system would become a powerful surveillance tool for the state.
And it’s worth taking seriously. Armer was astoundingly prophetic.
He predicted the internet a decade in advance…
As he told folks who attended his talk at Stanford…
Five or ten years from now most computers will probably be attached to a network or be reachable via a telephone number. And most will probably adhere to a standard protocol.
The official birthday of the internet is January 1, 1983. That’s when we adopted a protocol called Transmission Control Protocol/Internet Protocol. This allowed computers to communicate with one another on a network.
So, Armer was almost eight years early on that call.
He also predicted a world in which almost everything we use contains a computer chip…
There will be several microprocessors in every car; trucks will probably have one at each end of every axle; there will be one in most appliances, and there will be one pasted on the back of every typewriter. I am sure there are countless uses that we don’t even dream of today.
But what worried him most was the idea of using computer networks for payments.
Armer compared what would happen to Nineteen Eighty-Four…
In George Orwell’s novel, a totalitarian superstate rules over a world in which individualism and independent thought are persecuted as “Thoughtcrimes.”
Privacy and freedom are forbidden. The state controls citizens’ lives through every present surveillance.
And Armer believed electronic payments – what he called an electronic funds transfer system or EFTS – would be a powerful and dangerous surveillance tool. As he put it…
Suppose for a minute all transactions over $10 must go through [the EFTS]. Thus the system not only collects and files a great deal of data about your financial transactions – and that means a great deal of data about your life – but the system knows where you are every time you make such a transaction.
He also saw the potential for another kind of abuse of an EFTS…
If an individual tries to make a purchase or cash a check, the system is interrogated. If the account has a special flag the police (or whoever) can be notified where that individual is at that very instant.
Today, we’ve mostly forgotten this warning…
But governments haven’t given up on their dream of creating a surveillance state.
That’s why more than 100 countries around the world are putting plans in place for digital-only currencies.
And that includes the U.S.
It’s part of why, yesterday, we looked at the KGB’s experiment to design a digital payments surveillance system to keep track of everyone inside the U.S.S.R… without them ever knowing about it.
We at the Cut want you to be aware of the implications a U.S. dollar CBDC would have on your financial privacy… And how you can best protect yourself should the Fed ever decide to take the U.S. financial system fully digital.
More Markets
Today’s top gaining ETFs…
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A SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) +3.5%
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VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) +3.5%
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iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) +3.4%
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First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) +3.1%
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ProShares Ultra QQQ (QLD) +3%
Today’s biggest losing ETFs…
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KraneShares MSCI All China Health Care Index ETF (KURE) -2.3%
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VanEck ChiNext ETF (CNXT) -2.1%
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Invesco China Technology ETF (CQQQ) -1.9%
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Invesco Dorsey Wright Healthcare Momentum ETF (PTH) -1.5%
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Global X MSCI China Consumer Discretionary ETF (CHIQ) -1.5%
Mailbag
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Regards,
The Legacy Editorial Team